Workflow economics — revenue intelligence
A board-ready framework for evaluating Revenue Intelligence across industries. The model treats AI as a revenue-amplification system, not a labor-replacement system, and tests whether each workflow clears a WACC-adjusted ROIC hurdle.
Panel 1 of 4 — the amplification equation
Cost-side workflows cross when AI execution plus error penalty falls below human baseline cost. Revenue-side workflows cross when the lift from AI guidance, multiplied by opportunity volume and conversion probability, clears the WACC-adjusted hurdle rate net of misguidance cost. Variables in green move in favor of investment. Variables in amber are the risk side.
Panel 2 of 4 — three scaling regimes
Token cost efficiency improves roughly 10× every 12–18 months — orders of magnitude faster than Moore's Law ever delivered. For revenue intelligence specifically, the implication is that the cost of generating high-fidelity guidance per opportunity is collapsing faster than the cost of generating the opportunity itself. The amplification ratio improves on the cost denominator before it improves on the revenue numerator.
Index: 2022 = 1.0 baseline · log scale · 2026 onward projected. Sources: synthesis of frontier model pricing trajectories, NVIDIA datasheets, and historical CMOS scaling.
Panel 3 of 4 — the decision matrix
Each dot is a representative revenue intelligence workflow placed by where its signal-to-noise threshold sits today and how soon AI economics cross the hurdle rate. The slope of the threshold curve is the analytical point: high-judgment workflows require disproportionately more progress before amplification clears the hurdle. Click any workflow to read its capital allocation logic. Switch industries to see how the same framework places vertical-specific workflows.
On mobile, swipe horizontally to view the full matrix.
Click a workflow above
Panel 4 of 4 — workflow assessor
Two dimensions on the left determine the signal threshold — how much cognitive fidelity the workflow requires. Two on the right determine token efficiency proximity — how close current AI economics sit to clearing the hurdle for this specific workflow. The four scores combine into a quadrant placement and a capital allocation decision.
Signal threshold dimensions
Judgment complexity
How nuanced is the reasoning the workflow requires?
Error consequence
Cost of acting on a wrong recommendation in this workflow.
Token efficiency dimensions
AI capability today
How well current AI handles this specific task — given models, proprietary data, and integration depth.
Unit economics today
AI cost per decision versus the value created per decision.
Automate now
Low signal · High proximity
Deploy agents immediately. Track adoption and conversion lift, not just throughput. Reinvest into governance.
Capital deployment window: 0–6 months
Build & defend
High signal · High proximity
AI is approaching your threshold. Invest now in proprietary data and semantic integration. Build governance ahead of capability.
Capital deployment window: 24–48 months
Sequence next
Low signal · Low proximity
Capability arrives in 12–24 months. Pre-position the substrate now — standardize the workflow, begin vendor evaluation, build integration scaffolding. Preparation work, not waiting.
Capital deployment window: 12–24 months
Protect & invest
High signal · Low proximity
Far from the hurdle. Deepen domain expertise and identify the proprietary data assets in this workflow.
Capital deployment window: 36+ months
Signal score
60/100
Proximity score
60/100
Capital allocation decision
Build & defend
Amplification capability is approaching this signal threshold. Capital priority is the proprietary substrate — deal data, customer context, semantic integration — that lifts fidelity and dampens misguidance. Build the seller adoption infrastructure now so amplification capture starts the day capability lands.
Try a preset workflow